Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.698266 0.890801 1.106901 1.364692 1.661132 1.988744 2.375548
2025-08-31 0.426180 0.664173 0.965798 1.363539 1.861817 2.453686 3.197888
2025-09-07 0.288053 0.547776 0.916509 1.446042 2.155804 3.045169 4.214061
2025-09-14 0.190808 0.449230 0.860489 1.499461 2.407454 3.596359 5.214625
2025-09-21 0.121696 0.363649 0.797219 1.523496 2.611359 4.090883 6.164525
2025-09-28 0.070341 0.281488 0.713956 1.496919 2.731530 4.471491 6.976082
2025-10-05 0.043053 0.232700 0.672875 1.524860 2.925859 4.956526 7.940188
2025-10-12 0.024446 0.189567 0.628177 1.535539 3.088278 5.397915 8.855002
2025-10-19 0.010984 0.143454 0.560015 1.490020 3.152261 5.693517 9.571246
2025-10-26 0.004211 0.109068 0.504461 1.455690 3.226242 6.001115 10.308329
2025-11-02 0.001516 0.088266 0.474986 1.466170 3.372758 6.420015 11.213308
2025-11-09 0.000212 0.064376 0.423493 1.419888 3.413484 6.673675 11.880928
2025-11-16 0.000028 0.056454 0.421895 1.485364 3.662211 7.268612 13.078311
2025-11-23 NaN 0.043920 0.395700 1.489693 3.798775 7.690505 14.030376
2025-11-30 NaN 0.040401 0.404947 1.580256 4.101415 8.388621 15.413041
2025-12-07 NaN 0.034858 0.401570 1.638536 4.345063 8.997433 16.673076
2025-12-14 NaN 0.028106 0.386803 1.664853 4.527361 9.509972 17.796276
2025-12-21 NaN 0.019842 0.354083 1.636981 4.599778 9.841070 18.646762
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015797 0.343150 1.666890 4.788245 10.369976 19.810953
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011862 0.326982 1.678344 4.938227 10.836070 20.883944
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007237 0.293344 1.629983 4.959434 11.081191 21.614206
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004264 0.265758 1.593479 5.001437 11.361090 22.402140
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002856 0.253484 1.604644 5.146154 11.822673 23.484983